Publications

2024

  • Vasconcelos, …, Davis et al. “Accelerating progress towards the 2030 neglected tropical diseases targets: how can quantitative modeling support programmatic decisions?” CID (2024). Link here.
  • Davis et al. “An analytically tractable, age-structured model of the impact of vector control on mosquito-transmitted infections.” PLoS Comp Bio (2024). Link here.
  • Oliver, …, Davis et al. “Reducing the Antigen Prevalence Target Threshold for Stopping and Restarting Mass Drug Administration for Lymphatic Filariasis Elimination: A Model-Based Cost-effectiveness Simulation in Tanzania, India and Haiti.” CID (2024). Link here.
  • Iacovidou, Spencer and Davis. “Non-invasive surveillance for vector-borne diseases: using an age-structured feeding cycle model to relate mosquito and human prevalence. [in preparation]. (2024).

2023

  • Davis et al. “A modelling analysis of a new multi-stage pathway for classifying achievement of public health milestones for leprosy.” Phil Trans R Soc B (2023). Link here.
  • Davis and Hollingsworth. “Estimating LFT and qPCR test sensitivity over time since infection from a human challenge study.” Pre-print: medRxiv (2023). Link here.

2022

  • Borlase, Le Rutte, … and Davis. “Evaluating and mitigating the potential indirect impact of COVID-19: a modelling study of programme interruptions for seven neglected tropical diseases.” The Lancet Global Health (2022). Link here.
  • Marshall GC, …, Davis et al. “Public perceptions and interactions with UK COVID-19 Test, Trace and Isolate policies, and implications for pandemic infectious disease modelling” [version 1; peer review: awaiting peer review]. F1000Research (2022). Link here.

2021

  • Davis and Lucas et al. “Contact tracing is an imperfect tool for controlling COVID-19 transmission and relies on population adherence.” Nature Communications (2021). Link here.
  • Lucas and Davis et al. “Engagement and adherence trade-offs for SARS-CoV-2 contact tracing.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B (2021). Link here.
  • Davis, Prada, Reimer and Hollingsworth. “Modelling the Impact of Vector Control on Lymphatic Filariasis Programs: Current Approaches and Limitations.” Clinical Infectious Diseases (2021). Link here.
  • Fearon, Buchan, Das, Davis et al. “SARS-CoV-2 antigen testing: weighing the false positives against the costs of failing to control transmission” The Lancet Respiratory Medicine (2021). Link here.
  • Crellen, Pi, Davis et al. “Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with waning immunity in the UK population.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B (2021). Link here.
  • Prada, Stolk, Davis et al. “Delays in lymphatic filariasis elimination programmes due to COVID-19, and possible mitigation strategies.” Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (2021). Link here.
  • Toor, …, Davis et al. “Predicted impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease programmes and the opportunity for innovation.” Clinical Infectious Diseases (2021). Link here.
  • Fearon, Davis et al. “A response to ‘Covid-19: government must urgently rethink lateral flow test roll-out’: lateral flow testing in contact tracing.” British Medical Journal (2021). Link here.

2020 

  • Lucas, Pollington, Davis and Hollingsworth. “Responsible modelling: Unit testing for infectious disease epidemiology.” Epidemics (2020). Link here.
  • Group, Isaac Newton Institute Infectious Dynamics of Pandemics. “Recommendations for augmenting contact tracing in the UK: Learning from other diseases.” (2020). URL:http://www.newton.ac.uk/files/preprints/ni20001.pdf
  • Toor, …, Davis et al. “When, Who, and How to Sample: Designing Practical Surveillance for 7 Neglected Tropical Diseases as We Approach Elimination.” The Journal of Infectious Diseases (2020): S499-S502. Link here.
  • Group, NTD Modelling Consortium. “The potential impact of programmes interruptions due to COVID-19 on 7 neglected tropical diseases: a modelling-based analysis” Gates open research, 4 (2020). Link here.
  • Prada and Davis et al. “Elimination or Resurgence: Modelling Lymphatic Filariasis After Reaching the 1% Microfilaremia Prevalence Threshold.” The Journal of Infectious Diseases (2020). Link here.

pre-2020

  • Davis et al. “Evaluating the evidence for lymphatic filariasis elimination.” Trends in Parasitology (2019). Link here.
  • Group, NTD Modelling Consortium Lymphatic Filariasis. “The roadmap towards elimination of lymphatic filariasis by 2030: insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling.” Gates open research, 3 [2 reviewed; 2 accepted] (2019). Link here.
  • Group, NTD Modelling Consortium. “Achieving NTD Control, Elimination and Eradication Targets Post-2020 Modelling Perspectives and Priorities.” Gates open research, 3 (2019). Link here.
  • Lepper, Prada, Davis, Gunawardena and Hollingsworth. “Complex interactions in soil-transmitted helminth co-infections from a cross-sectional study in Sri Lanka.” Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine & Hygiene 112.8 (2018): 397-404. Link here.
  • Davis et al. “Seasonally timed treatment programs for Ascaris lumbricoides to increase impact – an investigation using mathematical models.” PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 12.1 (2018): e0006195. Link here.